Web 1.0 Archaeologist and Professor of Goon study
- Jun 11, 2018
Yeah, most analysts are saying that the 2020s-2030s is probably the window in which China can strike.
Beyond that, demographic/economic issues may possibly force it to look inwards yet again.
TBH, the delivery system matters as well, though I think that the Chinese + Russians are still continuously working on theirs- hence the recent reveal of hypersonic missile technology. The US on the otherhand is still stuck with ICBMs, I believe.
Most Chinese ICBM's are direct part for part copies of Soviet per an agreement in 1953, China bought the components from Soviet factories directly so I would think reliability wouldn't be an issue. The Soviet union was well known for making amazing rockets and missiles. It was definitely a pioneer in the technology.
Indigenous developed Chinese airplanes and stuff are junk tho...but the stuff they copy turns out to work pretty well
As far as Australia getting a second hand nuclear submarine in the next decade...what sort of deterrence is that? China is commission a new Frigate every 3 weeks, a destroyer every 60 days and a carrier every 7 months.
Hell that's weak....might aswell be sending the HMS Reknown and the Repulse against the Japanese carrier fleet in 1941
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